Dhaka – Web Desk: Bangladesh is set to hold its 13th parliamentary elections and a national referendum on constitutional amendments on Thursday, February 12, 2026. These polls mark a historic milestone, being the first general elections after the end of Sheikh Hasina’s extended tenure, and are expected to witness a tight contest between the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) and the Jamaat-e-Islami-led alliance.
According to the Election Commission, over 2,000 candidates are vying for 350 parliamentary seats, with approximately 1,400 contesting for the first time. More than 600 candidates are aged 44 or younger, signaling strong youth participation.
Recent surveys indicate that the BNP, led by Tarique Rahman, is currently the largest and most dominant party. However, Jamaat-e-Islami, which has allied with 11 other parties including the National Citizens Party popular among youth activists, is presenting a formidable challenge. Analysts suggest the vote difference between the two alliances could be as narrow as 2 percent in several constituencies.
The ruling Awami League, led by Sheikh Hasina, is barred from participating due to registration suspension. Survey data suggest that a significant portion of former Awami League voters may shift their support to the BNP alliance. The survey, covering 63,115 voters across the country, indicated that 92 percent intend to vote, 4.4 percent plan to abstain, and 2.5 percent remain undecided.
Preliminary projections suggest that the Jamaat-led alliance could secure clear wins in 105 constituencies, while the BNP alliance may have a definite lead in 101 seats. Tight contests are expected in 75 constituencies, and 19 seats may go to other parties.
Former Election Commission official and expert Mohammed Abdul Aleem predicted high youth participation, driven by economic frustrations and employment concerns, which could play a decisive role in determining the election outcome.
These elections are widely regarded as a litmus test for Bangladesh’s evolving political landscape and the increasing influence of youth voters in shaping the country’s parliamentary future.
